Mathematical Modeling of Epidemic Spread: Predicting and ‎Controlling Infectious Diseases

  • Authors

    • V. Pushparajesh Professor, Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Technology, JAIN (Deemed-to-be ‎University), Ramnagar District, Karnataka, India
    • Jagtej Singh Chitkara Center for Research and Development, Chitkara University, Himachal Pradesh, India
    • Dr. Naresh Kaushik Assistant Professor, uGDX, ATLAS SkillTech University, Mumbai, India
    • Dr. Manoranjan Parhi Professor, Center for Data Science, Siksha 'O' Anusandhan (Deemed to be University), Bhubaneswar, Odisha, India
    • Harshit Singh Assistant Professor, Department of Biotechnology, Sathyabama Institute of Science and Technology, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
    • Dr. S. Usha Nandhini Assistant Professor, Department of Biotechnology, Sathyabama Institute of Science and Technology, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
    • Arpit Arora‎ Center of Research Impact and Outcome, Chitkara University, Rajpura- 140417, Punjab, India
    https://doi.org/10.14419/15h4rp48

    Received date: May 2, 2025

    Accepted date: May 31, 2025

    Published date: October 30, 2025

  • Epidemic; Infection; Disease; Mathematical Model

  • Abstract

    Infectious diseases spread between individuals through direct or indirect contact. Microparasites, such as viruses and bacteria, and ‎macroparasites, including flukes and helminths, are primarily responsible for causing a wide range of infectious diseases. Ecological and ‎climatic changes increase the risk of pathogen emergence. Moreover, the evolution of pathogens makes it difficult to predict the spatio-temporal invasion of the diseases. HIV, smallpox, rabies, measles, dengue, and cholera are some of the diseases. For decades, these diseases ‎have emerged: Zika, Ebola, Chikungunya, and others. Recently, these invaders have spread widely across the globe in just a few months. ‎Infectious diseases can be a major economic problem for poor nations. Neglected tropical diseases lead to physical impairments and early ‎deaths that hinder a nation's economic growth. Human-caused diseases harm both humans and animals, affecting economies and agriculture. ‎Avian flu, foot-and-mouth disease, and viruses causing hemorrhage in fish all fall under this category of diseases. Because of significant ‎financial damages in food production, farming industries, and the fisheries sectors annually. Furthermore, pathogens spread between species ‎such as animals, birds, etc. Create the chance for humans to get sick‎.

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  • How to Cite

    Pushparajesh , V. ., Singh , J. ., Kaushik , D. N. ., Parhi , D. M. ., Singh , H. ., Nandhini, D. S. U. . ., & Arora‎, A. . (2025). Mathematical Modeling of Epidemic Spread: Predicting and ‎Controlling Infectious Diseases. International Journal of Basic and Applied Sciences, 14(SI-1), 308-313. https://doi.org/10.14419/15h4rp48