An investigation of rainfall variability in the upper and lower river Niger basin development authority areas, Nigeria

Authors and Affiliations

  • Babatolu J.S
  • Temidayo Rufus Akinnubi dept of Physics Adeyemi College of Education
  • Akintade T.F
  • Omosuyi O.B

About this article

Download PDF

Abstract

The paper investigates annual rainfall variability in the Upper and Lower Niger Basin Development Authority Areas. The annual rainfall series is investigated for variability using Standardized Anomaly Index and Gaussian Lower pass filter. It is also examined for trends using Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient. The annual rainfall over the study area exhibits multi-decadal drying trend from 1970-1993, as well as strong inter-annual variability.  The annual rainfall series shows an insignificant trend during the 1941-2010 period but increasing trend during the 1980-2010 sub period. Recovery of annual rainfall occurred at the end of the long persistent dry period.

 

References

[1] Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 2007. Climate Change 2007: Impacts Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of working group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

[2] Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 1996. Climate Change 1996. The Science of Climate Change: Contribution of working group 1 to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

[3] J. M. Melillo, 1999. Warm, Warm on the Range. Science 283, 183-184.

[4] D. E Parker, 2000. Temperatures High and Low, Science, 287, 1216-1217.

[5] W.Karlen, 2005. Recent Global Warming. An Artifact of a Too-short Temperature Records, Ambio 14(33), 263-264.

View more references (18)

[6] E, Kjellstrom, 2004. Recent and Future Signatures of Climate Change in Europe. Ambio, 33(4-5).

[7] A. Giannini, R, Saravanan and P, Chang, 2003. Oceanic Forcing of Sahel Rainfall on International to Interdecendal Timescales. Science 302, 1027-1030.

[8] J. S. Oguntoyinbo, 1982. Climate Variability and Food Crop Production in West Africa. GeoJournal 5(2), 139-150.

[9] O, Ojo, 1987. The Climate Drama. Inaugural Lecture Series, University of Lagos, Lagos. University of Lagos press, 1-36 pp.

[10] O. J. Olaniran, and G. M Summer, 1990. Long-term Variation of Annual and Growing Season Rainfalls in Nigeria. Theor and Appl Clim. 41, 41-53.

[11] S. E. Nicholson, 1989. Long-term Changes in African Rainfall, Weather, 44(4), 46-56.

[12] S. E. Nicholson, and D. Entekhabi, 1986. The Quasi-periodic Behavior of Rainfall Variability in Africa and its Relationship to the Southern Oscillation. Arch. Meteorol. Geophys. Bioklimatol Ser. A. 34,311-345.

[13] S. E. Nicholson, 2001: Climate and Environmental Change in Africa during the Last Two Centuries. Clim. Res. 17(2), 123-144.

[14] J. S. Babatolu, 1998. Climate Change and its Implication for Water supply in the Niger River Basin Development Authority Area, An unpublished Ph.D. Thesis submitted to the Department of Geography, University of Ilorin, and Ilorin.

[15] S.Barriers, H.Bertinelli, E Strobi, 2006. Climate Change and Rural-urban Migration: The Case of Sub-Saharan Africa. J. Urban Econ. 60(3) 357-371.

[16] P. V. Desanker and C. O. Justice, 2001. Africa and Global Climate Change: Critical Issues and Suggestions for Further Research and Integrated Assessment Modeling. Clim Res. 17(2), 93-103.

[17] A. Chappel and C. T Agneir, 2004 Modeling Climate Change in West Africa Sahel Rainfall (1931090) as an Artifact of Changing Station Locations . Int. J. Climatol. 24(5), 547-554.

[18] A. Dai., P. J., Lamb, , K. E. Trenberth, M. Hulme, P. D, Jones, P. Xie, 2004. The Recent Sahel Drought is Real. Int. J. Climatol, 24; 1323-1331.

[19] M Boko, I Niang, A Nyong, , C Vogel,. A Cutheko, , M.Medany, B. Osman-Elasha R Tobo, P. Yonda, 2007 Africa In: Parry in Canzianio, Palutikof J, Vander Lenden, P, Harison C. editors. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Working Group II Contribution to the Forth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge (UK) Cambridge.

[20] Y.,Malhi, and J. Wright, 2004. Spatial Patterns and Recent Trends in the Climate of Tropical Rainfall Regions. Philos. Trans. R. S. B, 359(1443)-311-329.

[21] C. J., Schreck, F.H.M, Sernazzi, 2004. Variability of the Recent Climate of Eastern Africa. Int. J. Climate. 24(6):681-701.

[22] M. G. New, M. Hulme, and P.D. Jones, 2000. Representing 20th Century Space-time Climate Variability. Part II: Development of 1901-1996 Monthly Terrestrial Climate Fields. Journal of Climate 3(13), 2217-2238.

[23] N, Brooks, 2004. Drought in the African Sahel: Long-term Perspective and Future Prospect.Tyndall Centre Working paper, No. 61, October 2004.


How to Cite

J.S, B., Akinnubi, T. R., T.F, A., & O.B, O. (2013). An investigation of rainfall variability in the upper and lower river Niger basin development authority areas, Nigeria. International Journal of Basic and Applied Sciences, 2(4), 393-398. https://doi.org/10.14419/ijbas.v2i4.1255