Exploring The Strength of Apparently Uncorrelated Regression ‎A Model for Analyzing and Detecting Economic Growth and ‎Poverty through Financial Inclusion in Indonesia

  • Authors

    • Lia Nazliana Nasution Ph.D. Associate Professor, Lecturer, Economic Development, Universitas Pembangunan Panca Budi, Indonesia
    • Ade Novalina Ph.D. Associate Professor, Lecturer, Economic Development, Universitas Pembangunan Panca Budi, Indonesia
    • Ardela Ph.D. Associate Professor, Lecturer, Economic Development, Universitas Pembangunan Panca Budi, Indonesia
    https://doi.org/10.14419/b8sd8q76

    Received date: July 25, 2025

    Accepted date: July 31, 2025

    Published date: November 3, 2025

  • SUR Model; GDP Growth; Inequality; Poverty Rate; Economic; Financial Inclusion; JEL Codes: F43; O47
  • Abstract

    In recent years, financial inclusion (FI) has emerged as an important topic with the potential to directly impact most countries around the ‎world. Indonesia is a developing country and therefore suffers from economic problems, most notably slow economic growth (EG) and ‎limited use of formal financial services. In addition, research has not shown a decrease in the Gini coefficient, despite a decrease in ‎poverty rates. Therefore, further research is necessary to verify this. This research adopted an important model, the seemingly unrelated ‎regression (SUR), to examine and determine the strength of the model and the relationship. The results showed that the effect of the SUR ‎model on economic growth was not positive. However, the significant negative effects revealed that the availability dimension is the most ‎effective and optimal in reducing poverty, alleviating its severity, and reducing income inequality in Indonesia. In contrast, the results did not ‎show any significant effect for the accessibility and ease of use dimensions‎.

  • References

    1. Abimbola, A., Olokoyo, F. O., Babalola, O., & Farouk, E. (2018). Financial inclusion as a catalyst for poverty reduction in Nigeria. International Journal of Scientific Research and Management, 6(6), 481-490. https://doi.org/10.18535/ijsrm/v6i6.em06.
    2. Aini, S. E. N., Solihin, N. S., & Muda, I. (2020). Influence of Financial Reporting Quality about Financing and Investment. Turkish Online Journal of Qualitative Inquiry, 11(4), 1078-1087. https://tojqi.net/index.php/journal/article/view/8226.
    3. Amit, P. P. (2018). Employee perception towards organisational change. International Academic Journal of Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management, 5(1), 1-25. https://doi.org/10.9756/IAJOBHRM/V5I1/1810001.
    4. Arcand, J.-L., Berkes, E., & Panizza, U. (2012, June). IMF Working Paper. Too Much Finance? IMF. https://doi.org/10.5089/9781475504668.001.
    5. Ayensu, E. A. (2017). The impact of financial inclusion on poverty reduction in some selected Sub-Saharan Africa Countries (Doctoral dissertation, University of Ghana).
    6. Bakari, P. I., Donga, P. M., Idi, A., Hedima, J. E., Wilson, K., Babayo, H., et al. (2019, January). An Examination of the Impact of Financial Inclu-sion on Poverty Reduction: An Empirical Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa. International Journal of Scientific and Research Publication, 9(1), 239-252. https://doi.org/10.29322/IJSRP.9.01.2019.p8532.
    7. Bank, T. W. (2018). https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/financialinclusion/overview#1. Retrieved 2021, from https://www.worldbank.org/.
    8. Bank, W. (2001). World Development Report 2000/2001: Attacking Poverty. Oxford University Press, Inc.
    9. Beck, T., Demirgüç-Kunt, A., & Levine, R. (2007). Finance, inequality and the poor. Journal of economic growth, 12(1), 27-49. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-007-9010-6.
    10. Bhagwati, J., & Panagariya, A. (2013). Why growth matters: How economic growth in India reduced poverty and the lessons for other developing countries. PublicAffairs.
    11. Burgess, R., & Pande, R. (2005, February). Do Rural Banks Matter? Evidence From the Indian Social Banking Experiment. American Economic Review, 95(3), 780-795. https://doi.org/10.1257/0002828054201242.
    12. Chlaihawi, M. O. A. (2024). Application of Blockchain Technology to Reduce Costs. International Academic Journal of Social Sciences, 11(1), 26–38. https://doi.org/10.9756/IAJSS/V11I1/IAJSS1104.
    13. Conniffe, D. (1982). A note on seemingly unrelated regressions. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 229-233. https://doi.org/10.2307/1912540.
    14. Coulibaly, A., & Yogo, U. T. (2016). Access to financial services and working poverty in developing countries.
    15. Davies, P. (2024). Heat Transfer Reduction in Different Climatic Zones by Thermal Analysis and Energy Optimization of Structures with Eco-Green Roofs. International Academic Journal of Science and Engineering, 11(2), 38–41. https://doi.org/10.71086/IAJSE/V11I2/IAJSE1148.
    16. Demirguc-Kunt, A., Klapper, L., Singer, D., Ansar, S., & Hess, J. (2018). The Global Findex Database 2017: Measuring financial inclusion and the fintech revolution. World Bank Publications. https://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-1259-0.
    17. Ductor, L., & Grechyna, D. (2015). Financial development, real sector, and economic growth. International Review of Economics & Finance, 37, 393-405. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2015.01.001.
    18. Dwiastuti, N. (2020). The Influence of Banking Credit on Economic Growth and Its Relationship with District/City Community Welfare in West Kalimantan Province. Proceedings of the Annual Academic Seminar on Economics and Development Studies (pp. 73-91). West Kalimantan: FEB UNTAN.
    19. Economist, T. (2011, June 15). https://www.economist.com/. Retrieved March 2, 2021, from https://www.economist.com/democracy-in-america/2011/06/15/are-atms-stealing-jobs.
    20. Erlando, A., Riyanto, F. D., & Masakazu, S. (2020). Financial inclusion, economic growth, and poverty alleviation: evidence from eastern Indone-sia. Heliyon, 6(10). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2020.e05235.
    21. Group, W. B. (2021). Approach Paper. The Drive for Financial Inclusion: Lessons of World Bank Group Experience.
    22. Hariharan, G., & Marktanner, M. (2012). The growth potential from financial inclusion. ICA Institute and Kennesaw State University, 2(5), 1-12.
    23. Iqbal, B. A., & Sami, S. (2017). Role of banks in financial inclusion in India. Contaduría y administración, 62(2), 644-656. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cya.2017.01.007.
    24. JishaJoseph, M., & Varghese, T. (2014). Role of financial inclusion in the development of Indian economy. growth, 5(11).
    25. Keuangan, O. J. (2020, Desember). https://www.ojk.go.id/. Retrieved 2021, from https://www.ojk.go.id/id/berita-dan-kegiatan/publikasi/Pages/Survei-Nasional-Literasi-dan-Inklusi-Keuangan-2019.aspx.
    26. Khan, M., & Taha, A. (2023). Simulating Complex Structures with Structural Engineering Software. Association Journal of Interdisciplinary Tech-nics in Engineering Mechanics, 1(1), 26-37.
    27. King, R. G., & Levine, R. (1993). Finance, entrepreneurship and growth. Journal of Monetary economics, 32(3), 513-542. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(93)90028-E.
    28. Kingsley, M. (2013). Nigeria: A Global View on Financial Inclusion-Perspectives from a Fronter Market. Thisday online.
    29. Kontan.co.id. (2020, Agustus). https://keuangan.kontan.co.id/news/begini-peran-kredit-perbankan-terhadap-pertumbuhan-pdb-indonesia. Retrieved 2021, from https://keuangan.kontan.co.id/.
    30. Lei, C., & Ibrahim, M. (2024). Efficient Revenue Management: Classification Model for Hotel Booking Cancellation Prediction. Global Perspec-tives in Management, 2(1), 12-21.
    31. Levine, R. (1997). Financial development and economic growth: views and agenda. Journal of economic literature, 35(2), 688-726.
    32. Levine, R., Loayza, N., & Beck, T. (2000). Financial intermediation and growth: Causality and causes. Journal of monetary Economics, 46(1), 31-77. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3932(00)00017-9.
    33. Migap, J. P., Okwanya, I. N. N. O. C. E. N. T., & Ojeka, G. O. D. F. R. E. Y. (2015). Financial inclusion for inclusive growth: The Nigerian per-spective. International Journal of Information Technology and Business Management, 37(1), 1-8. https://doi.org/10.15410/cijbr/2015/v1i1/61403.
    34. Mwaitete, C. P., & George, L. A. (2018). Financial inclusion and economic growth a regression analysis. Imperial Journal of Interdisciplinary Re-search, 4(1), 265-288.
    35. Nasution, L. N., Efendi, B., Sari, W. I., Novalina, A., Nasution, D. P., & Sembiring, R. (2019). Simultanity Model of Growth Economic and Work Force Based Financial Inclusion North Sumatera. International Journal for Innovative Research in Multidisciplinary Field, 5(4), 13-16.
    36. Nasution, L. N., Sari, P. B., & Dwilita, H. (2013, April). Determinants of Financial Inclusion in North Sumatra, Indonesia. Journal of Economics and Development Studies, 14(1), 58-66.
    37. Nations, U. (2021). https://www.un.org/en/global-issues/ending-poverty. Retrieved 2021, from https://www.un.org/.
    38. Nazara., D.S., Hulu., S., Hulu., T.H.S., (2021). Analysis The Effect of Nikkei 225, Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, and SSEX On JCI with Exchange Rate as A Moderating Variable During the Covid-19 Pandemic in Indonesia. Oeconomia Copernicana, 12(6) 786-803. https://oeconomiacopernicana.pl/sdm_downloads/19331/ojk.go.id. (2021). https://www.ojk.go.id/id/berita-dan-kegiatan/siaran-pers/Pages/Tingkatkan-Akses-Keuangan-untuk-Percepat-Pemulihan-Ekonomi.aspx. Retrieved 12 2021, from https://www.ojk.go.id/.
    39. Oruo, J. (2013). The relationship between Financial Inclusion and GDP growth in Kenya (Doctoral dissertation, University of Nairobi).
    40. Park, C.-Y., & Mercado, Jr., R. V. (2015, January). Financial Inclusion, Poverty, and Income Inequality in Developing Asia. ADB Economics Work-ing Paper Series, 426, 1-18. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2558936.
    41. Prakarsa. (2019). https://theprakarsa.org/category/policy-brief/. Retrieved 2021, from https://theprakarsa.org/kumpulan-policy-brief-perkumpulan-prakarsa-2014-2018/.
    42. Praveenchandar, J., Venkatesh, K., Mohanraj, B., Prasad, M., & Udayakumar, R. (2024). Prediction of air pollution utilizing an adaptive network fuzzy inference system with the aid of genetic algorithm. Natural and engineering sciences, 9(1), 46-56. https://doi.org/10.28978/nesciences.1489228.
    43. Presidential Decree. (2016). Presidential Regulation (PP) Number 82 of 2016 concerning the National Strategy for Inclusive Finance.
    44. Raisi, E., &Forutan, M. (2017). Investigation of the Relationship between Knowledge Sharing Culture and Job Satisfaction with Mediating Role of General Competencies among Employees of Sepah Bank Branches in Shiraz. International Academic Journal of Innovative Research, 4(2), 30–38.
    45. Rajan, R. G., & Zingales, L. (1998). Financial Dependence and Growth. The American Economic Review, 88(3), 559-586.
    46. Ravikumar, T. (2013). Assessing role of banking sector in financial inclusion process in India. Vels Management Journal, 1(3), 251-268.
    47. Sadalia, I., Nasution, F. N., & Muda, I. (2020). Logistic regression analysis to know the factors affecting the financial knowledge in decision of investment non Riil assets at university investment gallery. International Journal of Management (IJM), 11(2). http://www.iaeme.com/IJM/issues.asp?JType=IJM&VType=11&IType=2.
    48. Samargandi, N., Fidrmuc, J., & Ghosh, S. (2015). Is the relationship between financial development and economic growth monotonic? Evidence from a sample of middle-income countries. World development, 68, 66-81. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2014.11.010.
    49. Santosa, A. B. (2018). Normal Skew Modeling on Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) With Bayesian Approach. Surabaya: Institut Teknologi Sepulus Nopember.
    50. Sarma, M. (2008). Index of financial inclusion (No. 215). Working paper.
    51. Sharma, D. (2016). Nexus between financial inclusion and economic growth: Evidence from the emerging Indian economy. Journal of financial economic policy, 8(1), 13-36. https://doi.org/10.1108/JFEP-01-2015-0004.
    52. Siddik, M. N. A., Ahsan, T., & Kabiraj, S. (2019). Does financial permeation promote economic growth? Some econometric evidence from Asian countries. Sage Open, 9(3). https://doi.org/10.1177/2158244019865811.
    53. Sun, B., Zhu, W., Mughal, N., Temesgen Hordofa, T., Zhanbayev, R., & Muda, I. (2023). Sustainable economic growth via human capital and cleaner energy: evidence from non-parametric panel methods. Economic research-Ekonomska istraživanja, 36(2). https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2023.2170900.
    54. Tempo. (2019). https://bisnis.tempo.co/read/1172824/ekonomi-tumbuh-517-persen-bps-sebut-ditopang-konsumsi. Retrieved 2021, from https://bisnis.tempo.co/.
    55. Wang'oo, E. W. (2013, October). The Relationship Between Financial Inclusion and Economic Development in Kenya. Research Project for The Degree of Master of Business Administration. University of Nairobi.
    56. Ze, F., Yu, W., Ali, A., Hishan, S. S., Muda, I., & Khudoykulov, K. (2023). Influence of natural resources, ICT, and financial globalization on eco-nomic growth: evidence from G10 countries. Resources Policy, 81, 103254. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.103254.
    57. Zia, I. Z., & Prasetyo, P. E. (2018). Analysis of financial inclusion toward poverty and income inequality. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan, 19(1), 114-125. https://doi.org/10.23917/jep.v19i1.5879.
    58. Ziwei, M., Han, L. L., & Hua, Z. L. (2023). Herbal Blends: Uncovering Their Therapeutic Potential for Modern Medicine. Clinical Journal for Med-icine, Health and Pharmacy, 1(1), 32-47.
  • Downloads

  • How to Cite

    Nasution , L. N. ., Novalina, A. ., & Ardela. (2025). Exploring The Strength of Apparently Uncorrelated Regression ‎A Model for Analyzing and Detecting Economic Growth and ‎Poverty through Financial Inclusion in Indonesia. International Journal of Accounting and Economics Studies, 12(SI-1), 479-485. https://doi.org/10.14419/b8sd8q76