Decision Support Systems on Complex Situation Governance Based On Scenario Approach

  • Authors

    • I V. Chernov
    • D I. Makarenko
    2018-05-16
    https://doi.org/10.14419/ijet.v7i2.28.12948
  • Decision Support System, Complex Situation Governance, Scenario Approach.

  • Governance of modern situations arising in regional systems requires the development of distributed decision support systems in governance network. The paper proposes a strategic decision support scheme based on a combination of tools supporting the process of constructing multifactor situation models, and agreed models, taking into account different stakeholders’ opinions, scenario analysis tools for forecasting and searching for control actions as well as tools for monitoring situation change by factors. At an acceptable level of maturity of technologies of structuration and formalization of knowledge about the situation in the form of models, the means of supporting scenario analysis and synthesis of control activities on complex situations are critical.

     

     

  • References

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      [2] Avdeeva ZK, Ermakov AN & Raikov AN, “Big Data Refining on the Base of Cognitive Modelingâ€, IFAC-PapersOnLine, Vol.49, No.32, (2016), pp:147-152.

      [3] Gray SA, Zanre E & Gray S, (2014), Fuzzy cognitive maps as representations of mental models and group beliefs: theoretical and technical issues. Fuzzy cognitive maps for applied sciences and engineering, Springer, 29-48.

      [4] Kulba V, Zaikin O, Shelkov A & Chernov I, (2016), Scenario Analysis in the Management of Regional Security and Social Stability. New Frontiers in Information and production Systems. Intelligent Systems Reference Library, Vol.98.

      [5] Schulz V & Kulba V (editors), (2012) Models and methods of analysis and synthesis scenarios of socio-economic systems, Nauka, 2012 (in Russian).

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  • How to Cite

    V. Chernov, I., & I. Makarenko, D. (2018). Decision Support Systems on Complex Situation Governance Based On Scenario Approach. International Journal of Engineering & Technology, 7(2.28), 296-298. https://doi.org/10.14419/ijet.v7i2.28.12948